‘That which purifies us is trial, and trial is by what is contrary’ John Milton, Areopagitica (1644)

Counterpoint, a new occasional feature on the Daily Friend, seeks to match the wisdom Milton expressed in his great defence of free speech: that the best ideas emerge from scrutiny and argument. Guest opinions expressed in this column are not necessarily those of the Daily Friend or of the IRR.

Dear John

We note with great interest and deep gratitude that, whilst being interviewed by Jeremy Nell on ‘Jerm Warfare’, you have finally broken the Democratic Alliance’s silence on Cape independence.

As co-founder of the Cape Independence Advocacy Group, I cannot claim to be neutral on this subject, but I can state that our primary goal, at this juncture, is to promote informed, rational debate on the merits of independence. As the duly elected provincial government of the Western Cape, and with polling suggesting that 66% of DA supporters in the Western Cape are in favour of a referendum on independence, I do feel that the DA has a moral obligation to openly discuss secession. That you have been willing to do so, however briefly, is a positive step.

If I may summarise your argument for the benefit of those reading this letter, who may not have seen the interview, you suggested four reasons why you thought Cape independence a bad idea. These were that you thought it impossible constitutionally or legally, that it would leave a huge tax burden on the people of the Western Cape, that the DA’s mission would be best served by creating a bastion of hope in the Western Cape which would spread to the rest of South Africa, and that you weren’t interested in leading ‘factions or fractions’ which would mean that you, as a ‘Durban boy’ would need to ‘repatriated’.

I am going to address you briefly on each one of these points, after which I hope that you will recognise that you may have unintentionally misled the electorate with your answers, and, in doing so, will have highlighted exactly why a mature informed discussion on this subject is so essential.

Legality: Secession is Legal

You will have far greater access to learned legal minds than I, as I am not a lawyer. I am certainly not going to lecture you on the law. At this stage I would simply refer you to one of many authoritative legal opinions on the international law surrounding secession (Legal opinions on the international law surrounding secession) and point out that many countries have already successfully seceded. Bangladesh did not need Pakistan’s permission to secede. Neither, as the International Court of Justice advised, did Kosovo, to unilaterally secede from Serbia. Whilst agreement with South Africa would be infinitely preferable, as was the case with the Scottish independence referendum, the Cape does not need South Africa’s permission to secede. Secession is premised upon the wishes of the seceding people, not on the wishes of the parent state, especially when the parent state is actively discriminating against the majority of the seceding people on the grounds of their ethnicity.

Taxation: Secession is Financially Viable

On the matter of tax, once again, you will have far greater access to economic data than I, and if you want to present data that contradicts mine then I will of course reconsider my views. We are, after all, calling for informed debate. In the absence of such data, however, I must rely on the information provided by the national Treasury and Stats-SA. At face value your assertion that independence would cause the Western Cape tax burden to rise appears to be in stark contrast with the data they publish. The 2011 census data shows that 11.2% of SA’s population live in the Western Cape. The City of Cape Town states that the Western Cape produced 13.9% of SA’s GDP. Economists from ‘South African Market Insights’ state that 15.4% of South Africa’s personal taxpayers reside in the Western Cape and they pay 15% of total tax revenue. National Treasury states that just 10.1% of the National budget for provinces is allocated to the Western Cape, whilst, according to Stats-SA the province itself collects 16.5% of all provincial tax in South Africa. On the basis of this data it is hard to reach any other conclusion than that Western Cape taxpayers would in fact be significantly better off, not worse off, in an independent country.

Secession is Hope

I agree with you that the Western Cape can become a bastion of hope but fail to see how the interests of its people are best served by the party they elected, your party, having to implement the policies of the party they rejected, the ANC. Beyond that, what evidence do you have that by the Western Cape sacrificing itself, South Africa can be saved? If you remove Western Cape voters from the national voting statistics you will see that the voting trend in favour of the ANC and the EFF combined is upward not downward, reaching an all-time high in 2019 at 73.1% of the vote. Of the three metros the DA captured in 2016, two collapsed with both DA mayors resigning from the party and the third being in utter chaos.

Can you honestly claim, with a clear conscience, that this is better for the people of the Western Cape than a DA government with a clear majority mandate to enact its policies? Would that not also be a better DA advertisement for the remainder of South Africa?

Secession will Embrace All Citizens

Finally, whilst I accept it was perhaps tongue in cheek, repatriation is a dangerous and divisive term to use. All legal Cape residents would be able to become citizens of an independent Cape, and South Africa would remain a major trading partner to the Cape. Most of us would have family and friends on both sides of the border and Cape independence is not about creating an enclave, it is about the best interests of the people who live there. South Africa is a sinking ship. The South African government, cheered on by the South African electorate, is determined to address this by drilling more holes into the hull. The Western Cape is a lifeboat, where many of us now want to be cast adrift before we are dragged down with the ship.

No man can serve two masters, and at some point the DA is going to have to choose between the best interests of the people of the Western Cape and the best interests of South Africa, because, at this stage, they are in conflict with each other. It would be tragic to see the DA lose power in the Western Cape because they perpetually put the interests of the rest of South Africa first.

In closing, I again applaud you for having the courage to at least discuss Cape independence and to recognise that there are growing calls for secession from a Cape electorate who are entitled to hold such views. As the current leader of the party chosen by the people of that province, I implore you to engage more fully on the subject of Cape independence.

Yours Faithfully

Phil Craig

The views of the writer are not necessarily the views of the Daily Friend or the IRR

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  1. Certainly worth a debate. Democracy is best served when it is as close to the people it represents as possible. Perhaps South Africa should not have been created in 1910, but rather 4 separate countries. Each would have had its own path to independence from the UK, and arguably, that would have happened sooner, and apartheid not created in at least two of them, but that is a separate debate.

    The point is, where populations are not homogeneous, breaking the country into parts may be best for all. Imagine the chaos in India today if Pakistan and Bangladesh had not become independent. Europe has many very small countries; it is not one large country. The current state of the EU clearly indicates the troubles that a single Europe would be facing today.

    A separate Western Cape, in an EU style arrangement with the rest of SA may be the best way forward for all, and is worthy of consideration. And don’t worry, I’m sure the IRB will still allow us to play together as the Springboks.

  2. i have heard ,read items about this and always hoped & held onto the belief that could be true & on that note have been toying with idea of moving (immigrating ) to the Cape .I love KZN but with things ,signs & the way the ANC are ruining this country with their communistic ideas my hope of remaining here wains.I do love the Cape also.

  3. I would move there immediately if this was going to be a reality. As much as the current pandemic has highlighted many inequalities in S.A., it has also highlighted the true and ugly character of the ANC, and Cyril has not done anything to suggest that he wants to address these issues in a sane and rational manner. I am seriously looking at possibly leaving this country unless things start changing, but I eould happily move to an independent Cape.

  4. Steenhuisen and the DA is negative about Cape secession because they still live under the illusion that at some time in the future the DA is going to become the majority party in South Africa and that there is therefore hope that they will be ruling all of SA. This is a vain hope; they’ve peaked nationally and are actually now losing votes in all provinces except the Western Cape and (maybe) Gauteng. They need to reconcile themselves that at best they are and will remain a provincial majority in the W Cape alone.


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