Frans Cronje

Frans Cronje was educated at St Johns College in Houghton and holds a PHD in scenario planning. He has been at the IRR for 15 years and established its Centre for Risk Analysis as a scenario focused research unit servicing the strategic intelligence needs of corporate and government clients. It uses deep-dive data analysis and first hand political and policy information to advise groups with interests in South Africa on the likely long term economic, social, and political evolution of the country. He has advised several hundred South African corporations, foreign investors, and policy shapers. He is the author of two books on South Africa’s future and scenarios from those books have been presented to an estimated 30 000 people. He writes a column for Rapport and teaches scenario based strategy at the business school of the University of the Free State.
Getting it wrong
by Frans Cronje — last modified Aug 03, 2019 06:28 PM
Frans Cronje
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Aug 04, 2019

Be sceptical of analysts at all times, and weigh what they say against how things actually turn out.

Helen Zille joins the IRR
by Frans Cronje — last modified Jul 28, 2019 11:28 AM
Frans Cronje
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Jul 28, 2019

The bold and veteran campaigner for liberal values will strengthen our fight for South Africa’s future as a free and prosperous society.

A very odd phenomenon
by Frans Cronje — last modified Jul 20, 2019 10:28 PM
Frans Cronje
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Jul 21, 2019

The risk of a significant social, economic, and civil rights slide-away that could turn South Africa into the next Venezuela should be taken seriously.

Rewriting the rules of the game
by Frans Cronjé — last modified Jun 29, 2019 08:20 PM
Frans Cronjé
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Jun 30, 2019

Professor Hermann Giliomee once warned the Democratic Alliance (DA) 'never bat on your opponent's pitch' - it could never beat the African National Congress (ANC) at Black Economic Empowerment (BEE).

The reformer that never was
by Frans Cronjé — last modified Jun 01, 2019 09:01 PM
Frans Cronjé
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Jun 02, 2019

The truth is, South Africa now has a Cabinet wholly bereft of the ideas necessary to turn the economy around.

It’s over … except it isn’t
by Terence Corrigan — last modified May 23, 2019 08:21 PM
Terence Corrigan
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May 24, 2019

There is little reason to imagine that the reckless policy course that prevailed throughout 2018 and into 2019 is anything but the ‘direction of policy’ today.

Twelve questions the DA chose not to answer before the election
by Frans Cronjé — last modified Apr 28, 2019 07:31 AM
Frans Cronjé
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Apr 28, 2019

Some weeks ago we put twelve questions* to the Democratic Alliance (DA). In a note last week, the party told us that they would not answer them. But the questions are important and in this column we set them out with some of our own insights.

Busting the ‘vote for Cyril’ myth
by Frans Cronjé — last modified Apr 21, 2019 02:40 PM
Frans Cronjé
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Apr 21, 2019

A resounding mandate may sufficiently embolden the less appealing leaders of the ANC to think that they do not need Mr Ramaphosa at all.

How, now, Purple Cow!
by Frans Cronjé — last modified Apr 08, 2019 04:20 PM
Frans Cronjé
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Apr 07, 2019

Frans Cronje, CEO of the IRR, interviews Roman Cabanac, one of the founders of the South African Capitalist Party (ZACP), also known as the Purple Cow Party

The silencing of the lambs
by Frans Cronjé — last modified Mar 20, 2019 09:59 AM
Frans Cronjé
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Mar 17, 2019

The full text of the speech by Institute of Race Relations CEO Frans Cronje at Stellenbosch University, 13 March 2019


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