A new poll conducted by the Social Research Foundation (SRF) has found that the MK Party, founded last year by former president, Jacob Zuma, has the support of nearly a quarter of voters in KwaZulu-Natal.

Modelling an election with a turnout of about 66%, the poll has the ANC at about 25% in the province, with the IFP on 24%. The DA has the support of about 15% of voters, while the EFF sees something of a decline, with 5%, half of what it picked up in 2019.

SRF head and former IRR CEO, Frans Cronje, was quoted as saying: ‘These numbers are likely a game changer. The ANC house is now on fire and whereas a few weeks ago the most plausible political scenario for South Africa was a steady decline of that party, leading first to a national coalition with smaller partners and later with larger ones, the prospect is now rising that the roof may come crashing down very much faster.’

Cronje said that if the MK Party managed to secure that level of support in KwaZulu-Natal, it would likely reflect an overall decline of five percentage points for the ANC at national level.

The poll had surveyed 820 people and had a margin of error of 5%.