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Assessing Powell’s performance at the Fed

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MIT professor Kristin Forbes says Jay Powell successfully dealt with four extraordinary events during his eight years heading the Federal Reserve. Fed independence, she said, was tested more than at any time in 50 years, US tariffs went to a 90-year high, a global pandemic was the worst in 100 years, and inflation, she told a Washington audience, spiked to a 40-year high. 

What’s happening with gold?

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In 2025, the price of gold soared 63%, from roughly $2,600 per ounce to $4,300 by the end of the year. That return far exceeded the gains from almost all stock market indexes.

The Chinese renminbi is unlikely to become globally dominant

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On 29 April, outgoing Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell warned that political interference put at risk the central bank’s ability to pursue independent monetary policy, which he labeled as one of the reasons “why the US economy is the envy of the world”. 

The USA is going broke

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In the novel The Sun Also Rises, Ernest Hemingway’s character Mike Campbell is asked how he went bankrupt.  He famously replies, “Two ways, slowly and then suddenly.” The United States today is in the “slowly” phase.

Mounting risks of recession

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Even with the current ceasefire, does the US and Israel war against Iran portend recession?

June 16, 1976 – What it was like in Soweto on the first day

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Implausibly, on the morning of 16 June 1976, I first heard there was trouble in Soweto from London.

The threat to SA’s biggest industry

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Could South Africa lose its motor industry, its biggest manufacturer, and half a million jobs?  Could SA repeat the sad experience of Australia, which lost its car industry a decade ago?

Welcome to Zimbabwe

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Harare, Zimbabwe: Arriving at Harare’s renovated, ultra-modern airport, I paid for my tourist visa and stepped outside. There was a line of taxis, and I

Trump’s unprecedented assault on the rules-based economic order

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In Budapest some time ago, I came upon a wall poster bearing the likenesses of potentates whose imperial rule collapsed in the aftermath of World

Because Jay Powell fought back, Fed independence is more secure

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Jerome Powell’s eloquent defence of Federal Reserve independence, delivered in a two-minute YouTube video on January 11th, was an inspiring act of courage. The 72-year-old