Chris Hattingh
Chris Hattingh is Executive Director at the Centre for Risk Analysis.
Articles By This Author
Tau is right about the decline, but the remedy misses the cause
Parks Tau, Minister of Trade, Industry, and Competition, told a defence industry conference in Pretoria this week that South Africa must confront three decades of decline in its arms industry. Defence force acquisitions from local manufacturers fell to R850m in 2017 from R26.2bn in 1989/90. Over the same period research and development funding dropped to about R500m from R6.1bn. Employment across the sector collapsed from 130,000 people across 3,000 firms in 1990 to 13,000 people across 600 firms today.
South Africa’s next load-shedding is coming out of the tap
South Africa’s dams are almost full. According to the Department of Water and Sanitation (DWS), at the end of June they stood at 96.6% of capacity. By any normal measure, that should mean a good year for water security. Instead, the country is sliding into a water crisis that will eclipse load-shedding, and the dam levels prove the point rather than deny it. The problem, always, is whether the country can get water to a tap, treat what comes back out, and pay for the pipes in between.
Austerity is not South Africa’s health problem
Health Minister Dr Aaron Motsoaledi recently told South Africans that the public healthcare system’s failures stem from a decade of “austerity”. He repeated this word, deliberately, five times in one sentence. It is a memorable line. However, it’s not a claim the data support.
Why SA cannot subsidise its way out of becoming a failing state
South Africa is once again arguing about the Automotive Production and Development Programme (APDP). The key question is not whether this one programme pays for itself, but whether South Africa can keep subsidising firms and sectors while the basic services those firms depend on keep failing.
Mbalula reads the room – and takes aim at 2027
African National Congress (ANC) secretary-general Fikile Mbalula told journalists at Luthuli House this week that the party had to “read the room correctly” on March and March, the anti-immigration movement that mobilised tens of thousands of South Africans on 30 June.
International Socialism or National Socialism? America’s New Right chooses government over markets
When US Vice President JD Vance sat down with Michael Knowles recently, he noted that President Donald Trump had said he wanted to seize equity in AI companies, and that nobody had really protested, describing this as evidence that the American right had already reordered its economic thinking.
ANC’s old friends coming home to roost
South Africa’s anti-immigrant politics did not start with Operation Dudula. They started, in part, in Harare in 2000, when Robert Mugabe’s government began seizing commercial
SA state losing monopoly on force
Tomorrow, the March and March movement plans to enforce its own “deadline” for undocumented foreign nationals to leave South Africa. In readiness for any trouble,
Lessons from Cuba: when communists outgrow their own ideology
Cuba’s Communist Party has approved the country’s most sweeping economic reforms since the 1959 revolution. On 18 June the National Assembly adopted close to 200
No sacred allies: South Africa in a transactional decade
On 18 June US vice president, JD Vance told reporters Donald Trump is “the only head of state in the entire world who is sympathetic to the nation of Israel at this point in time.” He then warned Israel’s cabinet against attacking “the only powerful ally” it has left.