

Frans Cronje
Frans Cronje was educated at St John’s College in Houghton and holds a PHD in scenario planning. He has been at the IRR for 15 years and established its Centre for Risk Analysis as a scenario focused research unit servicing the strategic intelligence needs of corporate and government clients. It uses deep-dive data analysis and first hand political and policy information to advise groups with interests in South Africa on the likely long term economic, social, and political evolution of the country. He has advised several hundred South African corporations, foreign investors, and policy shapers. He is the author of two books on South Africa’s future and scenarios from those books have been presented to an estimated 30 000 people. He writes a weekly column for Rapport and teaches scenario based strategy at the business school of the University of the Free State.
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Articles By This Author

A fire that cannot be extinguished
- By Frans Cronje
- . Jul 18, 2021
In May of 1976 the chairperson of the West Rand Administration Board, which had taken over the administration of Soweto three years earlier, told the

Will South Africa became another Venezuela?
- By Frans Cronje
- . Jun 30, 2021
The following is the text of an address given by the CEO of the IRR, Frans Cronje, to the Cato Institute in Washington DC, in

A brilliant flash, then oblivion: is this the ANC’s supernova moment?
- By Frans Cronje
- . Jun 6, 2021
My colleague Anthea Jeffery has written here on why, and contrary to most opinion, the proposals of the EFF and the ANC on custodianship are
Racist murder at Mkhondo, or another Coligny injustice?
- By Frans Cronje
- . Apr 15, 2021
I have issued a statement today in which I explain why the IRR will be looking to verify the version of events set out by

Time to stop #CitizenAbuse
- By Frans Cronje
- . Mar 8, 2021
The mainstream media and many financial institution analysts are driving the line that last week’s budget was enlightened and littered with efforts to reduce the

Defenders of expropriation bear a heavy moral burden
- By Frans Cronje
- . Feb 17, 2021
Professor Ruth Hall of the University of the Western Cape’s Institute for Poverty, Land & Agrarian Studies began a lengthy defence of the government’s Expropriation

A less subtle case for why top independent schools need to stay closed
- By Frans Cronje
- . Jan 19, 2021
As he had promised, Gauteng MEC for Education Panyazi Lesufi paid a visit yesterday to Helpmekaar Kollege after that school had decided that it would

Covid-19 and private schools: a testing challenge
- By Frans Cronje
- . Jan 18, 2021
South Africa’s elite private schools should be allowed to determine their own affairs without government interference – but they should take great care not to

The second (and third) waves of state capture are coming
- By Frans Cronje
- . Dec 28, 2020
Over the next few weeks, the Daily Friend will be republishing a selection of the most popular posts of 2020. This piece was first published

Here I stand. I can do no other, so help me God. Amen.
- By Frans Cronje
- . Dec 7, 2020
‘It is not because men have enacted laws that life, liberty, and property exist. On the contrary, it is because life, liberty, and property are