Frans Cronje
Frans Cronje was educated at St John’s College in Houghton and holds a PHD in scenario planning. He has been at the IRR for 15 years and established its Centre for Risk Analysis as a scenario focused research unit servicing the strategic intelligence needs of corporate and government clients. It uses deep-dive data analysis and first hand political and policy information to advise groups with interests in South Africa on the likely long term economic, social, and political evolution of the country. He has advised several hundred South African corporations, foreign investors, and policy shapers. He is the author of two books on South Africa’s future and scenarios from those books have been presented to an estimated 30 000 people. He writes a weekly column for Rapport and teaches scenario based strategy at the business school of the University of the Free State.
Articles By This Author
US result shows how left-wing media bias has tainted America
Polling in the final week before the US election yesterday suggested that Joe Biden would win the popular vote by a landslide. The Real Clear
US result shows how left-wing media bias has tainted America
Polling in the final week before the US election yesterday suggested that Joe Biden would win the popular vote by a landslide. The Real Clear
What Cabinet’s deliberations on sale of underpants say about the prospects for structural reform
In a speech delivered at the end of April, Dr Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma said ‘…COVID-19 also offers us an opportunity to accelerate the implementation of some
Act now, or else: steps SA must take to avoid long-term recession
Two weeks ago, I asked my colleagues to turn the considerable policy and advisory capacity of the Institute of Race Relations (IRR) to the question
The hard truth about SA in 2020 – no reformists means no reform
Will 2020 will be the year of great political reform in South Africa? This is the question I was asked to address just a few
The second (and third) waves of state capture are coming
The first wave of state capture had its origins in the cadre deployment and transformation policies of the African National Congress (ANC) which degenerated into
Don’t throw the little guy under the EWC bus
Last week, mortgage lending firm, SA Home Loans, took to social media to state that in the event of a client’s property being expropriated, the
The wood and the trees: what are liberals to do if small-c conservatives succeed in tackling the socialists?
There is a case to be made that Herman Mashaba and his new political party might just break into a potential political vacuum and be
Mainstream news manipulation and disinformation in the aftermath of the DA leadership changes
The outright lying, disinformation, and news manipulation of the mainstream media reached record levels in response to the leadership changes in the Democratic Alliance (DA).
From Nelson Mandela to Wilkins Micawber – South Africa since the 1990s
After listening to the mini-budget this week, I think I understand what is going on; we are being governed by Wilkins Micawber, a character from