Frans Cronje
Frans Cronje was educated at St John’s College in Houghton and holds a PHD in scenario planning. He has been at the IRR for 15 years and established its Centre for Risk Analysis as a scenario focused research unit servicing the strategic intelligence needs of corporate and government clients. It uses deep-dive data analysis and first hand political and policy information to advise groups with interests in South Africa on the likely long term economic, social, and political evolution of the country. He has advised several hundred South African corporations, foreign investors, and policy shapers. He is the author of two books on South Africa’s future and scenarios from those books have been presented to an estimated 30 000 people. He writes a weekly column for Rapport and teaches scenario based strategy at the business school of the University of the Free State.
Articles By This Author
What the IRR is doing to roll back the threats to SA’s future
Our future as a free and open society depends on one thing alone – shaping public opinion on the pressing need for policy reform. The
Rewriting the rules of the game
Professor Hermann Giliomee once warned the Democratic Alliance (DA) ‘never bat on your opponent’s pitch’ – it could never beat the African National Congress (ANC)
Reds in the bed … and they’re coming for your pension
To the man who said to me this week that he does not find it helpful to talk about ‘communists’, my reply was: I am
Jackrabbit at the gates
When ideology crashes into economics, the economics always wins and the ANC will soon find that they have nowhere to run and nowhere to hide.
The reformer that never was
The truth is, South Africa now has a Cabinet wholly bereft of the ideas necessary to turn the economy around. We were told it would
Will South Africa reform and what would a reform agenda entail?
Getting out of the quagmire is going to need much more than appointing a smaller Cabinet and supporting the Zondo Commission – hard reforms that
Soft-ANC has failed and the DA must go back to liberalism
Election results confirm that the DA leadership’s mad strategy to jettison its liberal heritage in favour of a “soft-ANC” approach has failed and must be
Avoiding an ‘unsurvivable’ political event
South Africa’s hopes of preserving its constitutional democracy will depend on keeping the ANC and EFF collectively under 66% in Wednesday’s election. It was our
Busting the ‘vote for Cyril’ myth
A resounding mandate may sufficiently embolden the less appealing leaders of the ANC to think that they do not need Mr Ramaphosa at all. Elections
The Western Cape is another country
Appoint the right people, do your job, and stop stealing – things will work. I write this column from the ikigai coffee shop in Swellendam.