Frans Cronje
Frans Cronje was educated at St John’s College in Houghton and holds a PHD in scenario planning. He has been at the IRR for 15 years and established its Centre for Risk Analysis as a scenario focused research unit servicing the strategic intelligence needs of corporate and government clients. It uses deep-dive data analysis and first hand political and policy information to advise groups with interests in South Africa on the likely long term economic, social, and political evolution of the country. He has advised several hundred South African corporations, foreign investors, and policy shapers. He is the author of two books on South Africa’s future and scenarios from those books have been presented to an estimated 30 000 people. He writes a weekly column for Rapport and teaches scenario based strategy at the business school of the University of the Free State.
Articles By This Author
Herman Mashaba and the cruel and monstrous political game
Politics is a nasty business and it can bring out the worst in people, a risk to which the good and well-intentioned but politically uninitiated
What our ‘liberalism’ means, and why we fight for it
The only thing for liberals to worry about is the possibility of being influenced by critics on social media. The following is the text of
Detonation in the DA
All it took was a little nudge and all the assurances of unity and introspection within the party came tumbling down to expose an organisation
Ungoverned state
We would like to be convinced otherwise, but the evidence suggests the government has in effect lost control and can at best manage and mitigate
‘Unidentified leader’
The ‘outrage’ of a few South Africans on Twitter about the Associated Press caption that left President Cyril Ramaphosa unnamed reveals how skewed their perception
Property rights and the Rise or Fall of South Africa in the 2020s
Be warned: as long as South Africans think that expropriation without compensation is a benign policy or that it might deliver a social good, or
There is only one thing to talk about …
Frans Cronje | Aug 11, 2019If we do not defeat the threat of expropriation without compensation, we doom South Africa to a future of poverty, and failure,
Getting it wrong
Be sceptical of analysts at all times, and weigh what they say against how things actually turn out. The chief economist of one of South
Helen Zille joins the IRR
The bold and veteran campaigner for liberal values will strengthen our fight for South Africa’s future as a free and prosperous society. I am very
A very odd phenomenon
The risk of a significant social, economic, and civil rights slide-away that could turn South Africa into the next Venezuela should be taken seriously. In