Ofentse Donald Davhie
Ofentse Donald Davhie is a Research Associate for the Centre for Risk Analysis (CRA) with a focus on political risk and foreign policy.
Articles By This Author
Germany funded its defence turn, South Africa hasn’t
The Minister in the Presidency, Khumbudzo Ntshavheni, recently announced that President Cyril Ramaphosa’s Cabinet has formally endorsed the South African National Defence Force’s (SANDF) “Journey to Greatness” 30-year plan to rebuild South Africa’s armed forces and eventually reach a defence budget of 1.5% of GDP. Although this may seem like a step in the right direction, recent government spending behaviour has not encouraged enthusiasm for this bold ambition.
The next chokepoint, the next conflict
Modern power is not just about armies; it is about controlling bottlenecks, as we have seen with the war between the United States (US), Israel, and Iran. When the Strait of Hormuz first closed, the world felt it immediately through fuel prices, freight costs, and the quiet panic of logistics departments at companies that had never once thought about Iranian foreign policy.
Silencing the Guns? SA’s leadership amid persistent fire
While the 39th Ordinary Session of the African Union (AU) Assembly met in Addis Ababa on 14-15 February 2026 under the banner of “Assuring Sustainable
ANC’s Iran posture is undermining SA’s national interests
South Africa’s foreign policy decision-making is increasingly becoming a reputational risk for the country, particularly its relationship with the Islamic Republic of Iran. Starting 2026